Bluffing off my stack at Borgata

borgata_ext_miniWhile playing in the $2,700 buy-in Borgata Spring Poker Open Main Event, I found myself in a tricky spot on the river that I would like to share with you. My primary opponent in this hand is a 50 year old player who seems to be somewhat loose and passive. He also seems to overvalue most of his premium hands, which is a common trait most amateurs display.

My primary opponent, with a 35,000 chip stack, limped from middle position at 100/200-25 out of my 25,000 effective stack. I decided to limp behind from the button with 9s-5s. Both of the blinds called.

With 9s-5s, I am fine with all three options, limping, raising, and folding. I prefer limping because my hand is fairly weak, but still has some postflop potential, and I know that if I raise, my opponent may somewhat blindly call me down after the flop with any marginal made hand. If I thought my opponent would play in a weak, passive manner after the flop, folding to a simple continuation bet most of the time, I would have raised. If I thought he would play well, I would have folded.

The flop came Qs-7s-6c, giving me a flush draw and a gutshot straight draw. Bingo!

The blinds checked to the middle position player who bet 600 into the 1,025 pot. I decided to raise to 1,600. Both calling and raising are acceptable options but I prefer raising because our stacks are fairly deep and I want to build a pot such that when I complete my draw I can make a sizable bet and ideally get paid off.

The blinds folded and my primary opponent thought for a few seconds before calling.

The turn was the (Qs-7s-6c)-10h, a complete blank for me.

My opponent quickly bet 600 into the 4,225 pot.

This is a bet that most amateur players will make with a hand that is fairly strong, but non-premium. I assumed he had something like K-Q, 7-6, or perhaps three-of-a-kind. I was unsure if he would fold if I raised, but I was fairly certain that if I raised on the turn and then bet large on the river that he would fold (making a river bluff profitable). I also thought that if I raised the turn and bet small that he would call (getting value from my nut hands). So, I raised to 3,000, as I would also do with my premium made hands, such as 9-8 and 7-7.

My opponent quickly called.

The river was the (Qs-7s-6c-10h)-3d, another complete blank.

My opponent checked.

When you find yourself on the river with the bottom of your range, which will usually be the case when you have a busted draw, it is usually a good idea to bet, especially if you could have some value hands in your range. While most people would bet “large”, perhaps 8,000 into the 10,225 pot, hoping to make their opponent fold, I did not think this specific opponent would fold top pair or better to a standard large bet. In order to steal this pot, I would need to make a bet that my opponent could simply not justify calling.

So, I went all-in for 20,175, betting two times the size of the pot. My opponent thought for around three minutes, counting out the chips as if he was about to call. I remained stoic throughout the process. Eventually he folded 10d-7d, two pair, face up, giving me the pot.

pc-imageWhat a relief! Poker is fun.
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6 Comments

  • Jess says:

    Would you have still made the raise on the turn had you known you planned to bet the whole stack on the river?

  • Tim says:

    Hi

    If your oponent would have checked the flop, called your bet ( assuming you wou have bet the flop) and then check raising you on the turn with two pair, would you have folded?

  • Mannes Neuer says:

    Seems like a pretty high variance line early in a tournament. If he hero calls the river here (which many will do), you’re out. On the river, you’re really only representing exactly 98. 76, 54ss and a portion of the 77, 66 hands you would have opted to over-limp rather than raise with.
    Going back to the preflop action, a pre- raise to 3.5x would accomplish:
    – Potentially folding out weak limping hands like T7, or charging them to stay in.
    – Allowing you to represent QQ when it flops Q high; which would make your post- raises more believable.
    But I don’t have to tell you this, you’re the one that taught me this stuff 🙂

  • Jeff Granowsky says:

    Does it ever change your thought process/decision if the tournament allows rebuys?

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