The final table of the $10,000 buy-in PartyPoker event comes to close. If you are enjoying this live poker format of Weekly Poker Hand, please let me know. If you have any ideas for ways I can improve it, I am all ears!
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Hey Jon,
Just days into my 12 month subscription and still finding my feet. The HU last hand was interesting and although you break it down perfectly it’s just something I wouldn’t of thought of. I know any PP is fav HU with 22 at 50%, but I had no idea just how much thought could be put into it. Like you say, it’s just a second in time for you to calculate, but I thought it was really interesting. Thanks for sharing!
Plaza
Hey Jonathan. Great stuff. You do a great job of breaking complex topics down into easily understandable part. I have a question about tournament considerations vs straight equity calculations.
In this episode, you say that in this situation, if you get better odds than you need based on your equity, you should go all in. Does this logic only hold when it’s about 50/50, as it was here? It seems to me it should. For example, if your equity were 20% and you were getting 4 1/2 to 1, the odds favor a call, but if you do that you’re going to lose the tournament 4 out of 5 times, so it seems like a clear “No”. If you agree, what’s the point that it changes?
And flipping it a little bit, if you were against a player you thought was better, as here, and you got the chance to go all in with 55% equity, but only getting 53% from the pot odds, shouldn’t you still do it? You’re getting a better shot to with the tournament now (55%) than you would if you continued the heads up match (<50%), even though you're not getting the return you'd want in a cash game.
Thanks!
In general, if you have an edge, you should take it as long as you are not near any sort of bubble and the field is not extremely soft. If you consistently turn down spots where you have an edge (such as you need to win 30% of the time but you will win 40%) you will have a difficult time winning in the long run. In general, there is some value in surviving, but not at the cost of consistently blinding out. Surviving with few chips doesn’t do you a whole lot of good.